First off, let me be up-front. When it comes to current news, especially business and finance-related, I’m usually a day late and a dollar short. My grasp on the financial world is not what one would expect of someone in an MBA program (I get it, but could never cut it as an analyst), and by the time I really understand what is going on I’m well behind everyone else. So I generally stay out of those topic areas.
But this is an interesting one, because it’s psychological as much as it is financial, in my opinion.
The short “facts” are that Washington Mutual Bank or WaMu, as they are now officially known, has been suffering for a while. A few articles in Business Week, this one as old as April, and again in reference to yesterday’s 35% drop in stock price amid rumors of financial problems just hint at what is going on. The latter article also hints at why WaMu might not be as bad off as people thought yesterday.
Clearly, I think, the psychological frailty and fragility of the American mindset re: banks is factoring into things. People think that WaMu isn’t doing as well, and the stocks plumet in the wake of all this news on IndyMac (believe it or not, I couldn’t find a straight article on it, as there has been so much extra press, but this is close), Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (BW op-ed/blog articles I and II). WaMu says they have a bunch of extra capital, and stocks begin to rebound.
What I’m wondering, though, is whether, should WaMu collapse, the Fed will actually step in or not. A while back, I was reading in Newsweek about how while there are certain financial institutions that the Fed absolutely cannot allow to collapse since they are so crucial to the American economy (Citigroup, Bank of America, JP Morgan Chase among them), WaMu was in the “probably not” list. It’s just not as big of an institution.
However, there are other factors here. The first is the bailout of Bair Stearns and the collapse of IndyMac. Then, there is the trouble with Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The thing here with all of these groups is that they are, in my opinon, somewhat removed from the American public. Does Average American Joe really know what Stearns does? Or who IndyMac is and why they were so vulnerable due to being such a huge mortgage lender? Or how exactlyl Fannie & Freddie work, as publicly-traded yet federally sponsored quasi-mortgage lenders (they don’t actually lend - they buy mortgages from banks so that those banks have the money to lend more)? I question it. Reading the articles in print papers (or online versions thereof) clearly indicate that writers are having trouble putting all this stuff in “layman’s” terms.
But WaMu. You see a branch on the corner. I know of…maybe 10 within 5-7 miles of me. They have a logo that the public knows. People carry WaMu ATM cards in their wallets. I have a friend that has worked at WaMu - from teller to loan officer to assistant manager to manager to regional director - for the last nine years.
So, here’s my question. Even if WaMu is not critical to the American economy and is “expendable” in the way that IndyMac was, is there a psychological difference since people think of WaMu as a “neighborhood” bank?
I wonder.